A betting interpretation for probabilities and Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief

01/11/2010
by   Glenn Shafer, et al.
0

There are at least two ways to interpret numerical degrees of belief in terms of betting: (1) you can offer to bet at the odds defined by the degrees of belief, or (2) you can judge that a strategy for taking advantage of such betting offers will not multiply the capital it risks by a large factor. Both interpretations can be applied to ordinary additive probabilities and used to justify updating by conditioning. Only the second can be applied to Dempster-Shafer degrees of belief and used to justify Dempster's rule of combination.

READ FULL TEXT

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset