Bayes Optimal Early Stopping Policies for Black-Box Optimization

02/21/2019

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by   Matthew Streeter, et al.

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We derive an optimal policy for adaptively restarting a randomized algorithm, based on observed features of the run-so-far, so as to minimize the expected time required for the algorithm to successfully terminate. Given a suitable Bayesian prior, this result can be used to select the optimal black-box optimization algorithm from among a large family of algorithms that includes random search, Successive Halving, and Hyperband. On CIFAR-10 and ImageNet hyperparameter tuning problems, the proposed policies offer up to a factor of 13 improvement over random search in terms of expected time to reach a given target accuracy, and up to a factor of 3 improvement over a baseline adaptive policy that terminates a run whenever its accuracy is below-median.