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12/08/2022
The Lifebelt Particle Filter for robust estimation from low-valued count data
Particle filtering methods are well developed for continuous state-space...
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08/30/2022
An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling
Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a comple...
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04/19/2022
Inferring Epidemics from Multiple Dependent Data via Pseudo-Marginal Methods
Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics pl...
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03/24/2022
A comparison of two frameworks for multi-state modelling, applied to outcomes after hospital admissions with COVID-19
We compare two multi-state modelling frameworks that can be used to repr...
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12/20/2021
Trends in hospitalised mortality risk and lengths of stay during the first, second and current waves of COVID-19 in England: a cohort study
Widespread vaccination campaigns have changed the landscape for COVID-19...
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10/05/2021
Evaluating the impact of local tracing partnerships on the performance of contact tracing for COVID-19 in England
Assessing the impact of an intervention using time-series observational ...
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04/12/2021
Hospitalisation risk for COVID-19 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7: cohort analysis
Objective: To evaluate the relationship between coronavirus disease 2019...
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03/13/2021
Quantifying efficiency gains of innovative designs of two-arm vaccine trials for COVID-19 using an epidemic simulation model
Clinical trials of a vaccine during an epidemic face particular challeng...
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03/08/2021
Trends in risks of severe events and lengths of stay for COVID-19 hospitalisations in England over the pre-vaccination era: results from the Public Health England SARI-Watch su
Background: Trends in hospitalised case-fatality risk (HFR), risk of int...
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12/16/2019
Implications for HIV elimination by 2030 of recent trends in undiagnosed infection in England: an evidence synthesis
A target to eliminate Human Immuno-deficiency Virus (HIV) transmission i...
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08/13/2018
Analysing Multiple Epidemic Data Sources
Evidence-based knowledge of infectious disease burden, including prevale...
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04/20/2018