Mathematical proof aims to deliver confident conclusions, but a very sim...
For each of T time steps, m experts report probability distributions ove...
Inspired by Aumann's agreement theorem, Scott Aaronson studied the amoun...
The problem of aggregating expert forecasts is ubiquitous in fields as
w...
We consider mechanisms for truthfully eliciting probabilistic prediction...
This paper forges a strong connection between two seemingly unrelated
fo...
All proper scoring rules incentivize an expert to predict accurately (re...
We study the communication complexity of welfare maximization in
combina...